Intrade odds: Obama LANDSLIDE

The bettors at Intrade are projecting a huge Obama electoral win. 

Somewhere between 306-232 (average odds) or 338-200 (with leaning states).

Odds  now are at about 65% for Obama and have been increasing.

Which way is McCain/Palin going?

It’s in the bag, my friends.

Game over.

8 comments:

  1. Number 9, 1. October 2008, 9:52

    Mortgage your Tn Paradise and bet the farm William. Some how I doubt that will happen.

    The suburban vote is clearly McCain. Will the urban people actually vote? Don’t be shocked if these polls are off by ten percent. This is a new dynamic.

    This race is tied. Whoever makes the first big mistake loses. It might be McCain, it might be your hero Obama.

    The real question is who will the national newspapers endorse a few days before the election? Who will they endorse William?

     
  2. Emmett Flatus, 1. October 2008, 10:20

    wee willie…If, according to you, the game is over, would you please take your ball and go the hell home?

     
  3. William, 1. October 2008, 10:21

    Who do you think Colin Powell will endorse?
    Who do you think Iraq war vets will endorse?

    If the polls are off, they’re off because they are under counting the youth vote, the college students with cell phones and no permanent address. I think that the youth vote and the “disappearing 10%” racist vote will cancel each other out and the polls are generally correct. Obama is WAY ahead of where Kerry was in Oct.

     
  4. William, 1. October 2008, 10:23

    Emmett Flatulence,
    I’ll take a vacation after Obama wins and you can wallow in defeat and bitterness here at TN Free.

     
  5. Emmett Flatus, 1. October 2008, 10:42

    Thanks to your screeds, wee wee, this place wallows in your bitterness already. Your messiah’s defeat will be sweet music.

     
  6. William, 1. October 2008, 10:45

    A McCain comeback from this far behind would be unprecedented

    Quinnipiac University :

    “It is difficult to find a modern competitive presidential race that has swung so dramatically, so quickly and so sharply this late in the campaign. In the last 20 days, Sen. Barack Obama has gone from seven points down to eight points up in Florida, while widening his leads to eight points in Ohio and 15 points in Pennsylvania. Sen. John McCain has his work cut out for him if he is to win the presidency and there does not appear to be a role model for such a comeback in the last half century.”

    — Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

     
  7. Nigel Eccles, 2. October 2008, 11:20

    McCain’s slide over the past two weeks has been dramatic. Prior to Lehman Brothers going bust he was trading at 55% with us and the major UK betting exchanges. However, since then he has started to slide so that today his forecast is 26% (here: http://www.hubdub.com/m17795/Who_will_win_the_2008_US_Presidential_Election).

    It is hard to see how he can turn this one around. His campaign so far seems to be a series of gimmicks (e.g. Palin, ’suspending’ his campaign etc). He could turn it around but it is hard to see how.

     
  8. libhomo, 3. October 2008, 5:19

    William: Most Iraq vets are against the war. Most members of the “vets” group you mention are not veterans.

     

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